⚽ Sunderland vs Newcastle — Analytics and Prediction (14.12.2025)

Introduction

Both Sunderland and Newcastle are gearing up for an exciting clash in the Premier League, with the rivalry between these two teams adding an extra layer of intensity to the match. Sunderland, playing at home, will seek to leverage their familiarity with the Stadium of Light, while Newcastle comes into the game with a mix of confidence and recent struggles, aiming to secure crucial points in the league.

Form Analysis

Sunderland’s recent form has been promising, with three wins and two draws in their last five matches. They managed to hold Liverpool to a draw and achieved a commendable win against Bournemouth. Despite a heavy defeat against Manchester City, their overall performance in the league shows resilience and an ability to compete against tough opponents.

On the other hand, Newcastle has had a challenging run recently, winning only one of their last five matches. With a mix of draws and losses, including a defeat to Marseille, their inconsistency is evident. However, they did secure a win against Burnley, which they will hope to build upon as they face Sunderland.

Statistical Analysis

When analyzing the statistics, Sunderland boasts a slightly better home form with a 33% success rate in their last five home games, indicating their ability to score and defend effectively at the Stadium of Light. Newcastle, however, has a stronger away form at 67%, suggesting they can perform well on the road despite their recent results.

Looking at the head-to-head metrics, the last five encounters have seen a balanced competition, with both teams winning twice and one match ending in a draw. The average score from these encounters indicates a tendency for goals, with two out of five matches surpassing the 2.5 goals mark, suggesting an entertaining match could be on the cards.

Head-to-Head History

The historical matchups between Sunderland and Newcastle reveal a fierce rivalry. In their last five encounters, the teams have exchanged victories with two wins for Sunderland and two for Newcastle, alongside one draw. This parity highlights the intense nature of their clashes, making it difficult to predict an outright winner based on past performances alone.

Influencing Factors

The weather conditions on match day are expected to be overcast with a temperature of 11°C and humidity at 77%, which might affect player performance and ball dynamics. The wind speed of approximately 32 km/h could add challenges for both teams in terms of passing and shooting.

Sunderland will benefit from playing at home, where they have the support of their fans, which can often serve as a motivating factor. However, Newcastle’s recent away form suggests they are not to be underestimated, and they will be looking to capitalize on any defensive lapses from Sunderland.

Prediction and Justification

Given the current form and home advantage, Sunderland appears to have the edge in this matchup. Their ability to perform well against formidable opponents and their recent results suggest they can secure at least a draw, if not a win. With Newcastle’s inconsistent form, the prediction leans towards Sunderland achieving a victory or at least holding Newcastle to a draw, with a likely score of 2:1.