⚽ Lausanne vs Fiorentina — Analytics and Prediction (18.12.2025)

Introduction

Lausanne and Fiorentina will face each other in the UEFA Europa Conference League, a match that promises to be pivotal for both sides. Lausanne, a team from Switzerland, has shown resilience in their recent fixtures, managing to remain unbeaten in four out of their last five matches, albeit with a concerning number of draws. Fiorentina, on the other hand, has struggled in their recent outings, suffering several defeats, and will look to regain their form in this crucial encounter as they aim to progress in European competition.

Form Analysis

Lausanne’s recent form has been characterized by a series of draws, with their last four matches ending without a goal being conceded. Their only win in the last ten games came against FC Thun, which indicates that while they have a solid defensive setup, their attacking capabilities need improvement to convert draws into victories. The team has been able to maintain a form of 53% at home, showing some promise as they prepare to host Fiorentina.

Fiorentina’s recent form, however, has been less impressive, with only two wins in their last ten matches. Their defeats to teams like Verona and AEK Athens highlight defensive vulnerabilities, and the squad will need to tighten their backline to avoid further setbacks. A 60% form away from home suggests they are capable of performing on the road, but their inconsistency poses a significant challenge ahead of this fixture.

Statistical Analysis

Statistically, Lausanne has a strong defensive record, as evidenced by their last four matches ending in 0-0 draws, indicating a focus on solidifying their backline. However, failing to score in these games raises questions about their attacking potency. Fiorentina, with a more dynamic style of play, has been able to find the net at times but has also been susceptible to conceding goals, particularly in high-pressure situations.

When comparing both teams, Fiorentina holds a slight edge in terms of overall team quality and attacking options, but Lausanne’s defensive stability could play a crucial role in this matchup. The odds favor a close contest, with predictions indicating a likelihood of draws or narrow victories.

Head-to-Head History

Though there is limited historical data on direct encounters between Lausanne and Fiorentina, past performances in European competitions suggest Fiorentina generally has the upper hand against teams of Lausanne’s caliber. However, the unpredictability of knockout stage matches often leads to surprises, making it essential for both sides to be at their best on the day.

Influencing Factors

The weather conditions for the match will be favorable, with clear skies and mild temperatures around 7°C, which should not significantly hinder play. The match will be held at Stade de la Tuiliere, where Lausanne has a decent record. The home advantage could play a pivotal role, especially considering the team’s recent defensive form.

Fiorentina will need to overcome the psychological pressure of their recent form and the expectations that come with being a historically stronger side. The stakes are high, as both teams seek to secure vital points in the group stage of the competition.

Prediction and Justification

Given the current form and statistical analysis, the match is expected to be tightly contested. Lausanne’s solid defense against Fiorentina’s inconsistent attack suggests that the home side could frustrate the visitors. However, Fiorentina’s experience in European competitions gives them an edge. Therefore, the prediction leans towards a draw or a narrow victory for Fiorentina, with a likely score of 0:1. Thus, the final predicted score is 0:1.