⚽ Legia Warszawa vs Lincoln Red Imps FC — Analytics and Prediction (18.12.2025)

Introduction

Legia Warszawa will face Lincoln Red Imps FC in an important UEFA Europa Conference League clash. Legia, a traditional powerhouse in Polish football, has struggled recently, while Lincoln Red Imps, representing Gibraltar, have shown a more positive trend in their recent matches. This matchup presents an intriguing contest between a club with extensive European experience and one looking to establish itself on the continental stage.

Form Analysis

Legia Warszawa’s recent form has been concerning, with only 2 wins in their last 10 matches, including a streak of three consecutive defeats in domestic league play. Their lack of scoring ability has been highlighted, with the team failing to find the net consistently. The home advantage at Stadion Wojska Polskiego might help them regain some confidence, but the current form casts doubt on their ability to perform.

In contrast, Lincoln Red Imps FC has been impressive in their latest outings, registering 4 wins in their last 5 matches. Their attacking prowess has been evident, scoring multiple goals in several games, including a 6-1 rout of Glacis United. This confidence will be crucial as they travel to face a historically stronger opponent.

Statistical Analysis

In their last 5 home games, Legia has managed a dismal 20% win rate, indicating significant struggles at home, particularly in high-stakes matches. Their inability to convert chances into goals has been a major issue, underscoring their offensive woes.

Lincoln Red Imps, on the other hand, have a much more favorable away form, with a 47% success rate in their last 5 away fixtures. Their recent games have seen them score freely, which provides them with a psychological edge heading into this match. The contrasting forms of both teams could play a crucial role in the outcome of the game.

Head-to-Head History

There are no recent head-to-head encounters between Legia Warszawa and Lincoln Red Imps FC, which makes this match a unique encounter. The historical pedigree of Legia in European competitions, however, could serve as a psychological advantage, despite their current struggles.

Influencing Factors

The weather during the match is expected to be cold, with temperatures around 1°C and high humidity at 89%. These conditions could affect player performance, especially for Lincoln Red Imps, who are not accustomed to such climates. Additionally, playing at Stadion Wojska Polskiego, Legia’s home ground, gives them an added advantage due to their familiarity with the pitch and support from their home crowd.

However, Legia’s recent form at home may diminish this advantage, making the match more level than anticipated. If Lincoln can withstand the early pressure from Legia, they may exploit the hosts’ vulnerabilities.

Prediction and Justification

Considering the recent forms of both teams, Legia Warszawa seems to have the edge due to their home advantage, despite their inconsistent performances. However, Lincoln Red Imps FC is in better form and could capitalize on Legia’s weaknesses. Thus, the match is likely to end with Legia securing at least a draw. My prediction is a close contest, with Legia potentially winning by a narrow margin or the match ending in a draw, resulting in a predicted score of 2:1.