⚽ Uganda vs Nigeria — Analytics and Prediction (30.12.2025) ⚽ Uganda vs Nigeria — Analytics and Prediction (30.12.2025)
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30.12.2025
Reading time: 4 min
Soccer

⚽ Uganda vs Nigeria — Analytics and Prediction (30.12.2025)

James Harlow
James Harlow

Uganda
DLLW

30 December 2025
16:00
Africa Cup of Nations

VS
1:1
Complexe Sportif de Fès
13°

Nigeria
WWLD

Player Ratings & Team Rating

Uganda

Average rating
6.64

Top players:

  • K. Aucho — 7.03 (0 g)
  • A. Okello — 7.00 (0 g)
  • B. Byaruhanga — 7.00 (0 g)
  • R. Mato — 6.85 (1 g)
  • T. Mutyaba — 6.83 (1 g)

Nigeria

Average rating
6.87

Top players:

  • R. Onyedika — 7.50 (0 g)
  • S. Nwabali — 7.49 (0 g)
  • A. Yusuf — 7.30 (0 g)
  • S. Onyemaechi — 7.03 (0 g)
  • I. Obot — 6.70 (0 g)

Clean Sheets / Both Teams To Score

Uganda

Clean sheets (last 10): 0
BTTS (last 10): 2

Nigeria

Clean sheets (last 10): 0
BTTS (last 10): 2

Introduction

Both Uganda and Nigeria are set to clash in the Africa Cup of Nations, a match that promises to be an intriguing encounter. Uganda has shown resilience in recent matches, with a mixed bag of results, while Nigeria, despite their historical strength, has struggled to find form lately. The stakes are high, and both teams will be looking to secure vital points in this tournament.

With Uganda coming off a series of challenging matches, including a tough loss against Tunisia, their ability to bounce back will be tested. On the other hand, Nigeria’s recent performances have raised concerns, as they seek to regain their status as a dominant force in African football.

Form Analysis

Uganda’s recent form has been relatively stable, with three wins, one draw, and only one loss in their last five matches. Their ability to secure a draw against Tanzania and a win against Chad indicates that they are capable of competing at a respectable level. However, the heavy defeats to Morocco and Tunisia suggest vulnerabilities that Nigeria could exploit. Playing at home, Uganda will look to leverage local support to boost their morale and performance.

Conversely, Nigeria’s form has been disappointing, with no wins in their last four matches. They managed a draw against Russia, but losses to Egypt and Tunisia have cast doubt on their defensive solidity. The Super Eagles must address their issues in both attack and defense if they hope to emerge victorious against a determined Ugandan side. The pressure is on Nigeria to deliver a strong performance after a series of underwhelming displays.

Statistical Analysis

When assessing the statistics, Uganda holds a slight edge in their recent records compared to Nigeria. Uganda has a win rate of 60% in their last ten matches, while Nigeria has struggled with only 10% of their matches resulting in wins. Additionally, Uganda’s home form shows a significant drop to 17%, indicating they need to improve when playing in front of their fans.

In contrast, Nigeria’s away form has seen them fail to win in their last five outings, showcasing a worrying trend for the Super Eagles. The head-to-head statistics reveal that their last encounter ended in a goalless draw, suggesting that matches between these two sides often lack scoring. This could play into the hands of Uganda, who will be eager to capitalize on Nigeria’s current struggles.

Head-to-Head History

The historical encounters between Uganda and Nigeria have been limited, with the most recent match ending in a 0-0 draw. This record indicates a level of parity that can be expected when these teams meet. Uganda’s ability to hold Nigeria to a draw in the past speaks to their potential to frustrate the Super Eagles’ attacking efforts.

As both teams prepare to face each other again, the psychological aspect of their previous encounters may play a role in their strategies on the pitch.

Influencing Factors

The match will take place at the Complexe Sportif de Fès, where weather conditions will be relatively mild with a temperature of 13°C and humidity at 73%. The broken clouds suggest a clear sky, which should not significantly affect play.

Home advantage could be crucial for Uganda, as they seek to rally their supporters behind them. However, Nigeria’s experience in high-pressure situations could counterbalance this advantage. The referee for the match, Djindo Louis Houngnandande from Benin, will also play a role in maintaining fairness and discipline throughout the game.

Prediction and Justification

Considering the current form and statistics of both teams, Nigeria appears to have a slight edge, but their recent struggles cannot be overlooked. Uganda has shown resilience and could pull off a surprise against a faltering Nigerian side. However, given Nigeria’s historical strength and the dynamics of the match, a draw seems likely.

Thus, the prediction is a close match with a probable score of 1:1, reflecting both teams’ recent forms and head-to-head history.

Prediction

Predicted Score: 1:1

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