⚽ Cagliari vs AC Milan — Analytics and Prediction (02.01.2026)

Introduction

Both Cagliari and AC Milan are set to face off in what promises to be an exciting clash in Serie A. Cagliari, currently seeking to solidify their position in the league, comes into this match with a mixed bag of results. On the other hand, AC Milan, one of Italy’s most storied clubs, is looking to regain their form and climb the league table after a series of disappointing performances in recent matches. The stakes are high as both teams aim for crucial points in this competitive league environment.

Form Analysis

Cagliari has shown signs of resilience in their recent matches, managing to secure two wins, a draw, and a loss in their last five outings. Their latest victory against Torino was a significant boost, showcasing their ability to compete against tougher opponents. However, the draw against Pisa and the loss to Atalanta suggest that consistency remains a challenge for the team. At home, Cagliari’s performance has been moderate, with a win percentage of 47% over their last five home games, indicating they can be competitive, but must improve to secure points against stronger teams.

In contrast, AC Milan has struggled to find their footing lately, with only one win in their last five matches. The team’s recent 3-0 victory against Verona provided a glimpse of their potential, but subsequent losses, including a disappointing 2-0 defeat to Napoli and a draw against Sassuolo, highlight ongoing issues. Their away form has been significantly better, boasting an impressive 87% success rate in their last five away matches, which bodes well for them as they visit Cagliari.

Statistical Analysis

When comparing the two teams’ statistics, AC Milan stands out in terms of attacking prowess. They have consistently scored more goals than Cagliari, which is reflected in their head-to-head history as well. While Cagliari has managed to find the net in their recent games, their overall scoring rate does not match that of AC Milan. Defensively, both teams have had their struggles, but AC Milan’s defensive capabilities have typically been more reliable in high-pressure situations.

Additionally, Cagliari’s home record shows they can pull off surprising results, especially against teams that expect to dominate. The historical context of their encounters also suggests that while AC Milan has had the upper hand, Cagliari has managed to secure draws on multiple occasions, indicating that they can compete with the giants of Serie A when they are at their best.

Head-to-Head History

The historical matchup between Cagliari and AC Milan is intriguing, with Cagliari managing to secure two wins, one loss, and two draws in their last five encounters. Notably, the last meeting ended in a 1-1 draw, showing that Cagliari can hold their own against Milan. Previous games have often been high-scoring affairs, with an average of 4.6 goals per match in their last five encounters, suggesting that this match could also see a flurry of goals.

Influencing Factors

Weather conditions for the match are expected to be cloudy with a temperature of 12°C and 82% humidity, which could affect player performance and game dynamics. The Unipol Domus stadium will serve as the venue, and the home advantage could play a crucial role for Cagliari. Historically, they have performed better at home, but they will need to capitalize on this advantage against a seasoned opponent like AC Milan, who are used to playing under pressure.

The psychological aspect also cannot be overlooked; AC Milan will be eager to bounce back from their recent poor form, while Cagliari will look to build on their momentum from their last win. The blend of these elements will create a compelling atmosphere as both teams strive for victory.

Prediction and Justification

Given the current form and statistics, AC Milan appears to have the upper hand going into this match. Their ability to perform well away from home, coupled with Cagliari’s inconsistency, leads to the prediction that AC Milan will either win or draw. With Cagliari’s home advantage and recent performances, they could make it a competitive encounter, but the likely outcome is a victory for the visitors. The predicted score is 1:2.