⚽ Sevilla vs Levante — Analytics and Prediction (04.01.2026)

Introduction

Sevilla and Levante are set to clash in an intriguing La Liga matchup at the Estadio Ramón Sánchez Pizjuán. Sevilla, known for their solid home performances, will be looking to capitalize on their home advantage, while Levante aims to secure crucial points as they struggle to find consistent form this season. The matchup promises to be a battle of wills as both teams seek to improve their league standings.

Form Analysis

Sevilla’s recent form has been concerning, registering only 27% in their last five matches at home. Despite their historical strength, they have struggled to convert opportunities into wins, which raises questions about their attacking efficiency and defensive solidity. Key players will need to step up if they are to reclaim their winning ways and build momentum as the season progresses.

On the other hand, Levante has been even less fortunate, with a mere 7% form in their last five away games. Their inability to secure points on the road could prove detrimental to their season, as they find themselves in a relegation battle. With their confidence waning, Levante must find a way to exploit any defensive weaknesses in Sevilla’s lineup to have a chance in this encounter.

Statistical Analysis

When comparing the statistical performance of both teams, Sevilla holds a slight edge in their head-to-head matchups, with a recent record of 2 wins, 2 losses, and 1 draw against Levante. The average goals per match in their encounters has been high, at 3.4, indicating that both teams are capable of finding the back of the net. However, Sevilla’s home advantage typically translates into stronger performances, especially given their historical home dominance.

Levante’s current struggles are reflected in their statistics, as they have not been able to produce consistently strong performances either defensively or offensively. Their chances of success will depend heavily on their ability to convert chances into goals and to tighten their defense against Sevilla’s attacking threats.

Head-to-Head History

The historical context between Sevilla and Levante reveals a competitive rivalry, with both sides having their moments of glory. The last five encounters have seen Sevilla narrowly edge the results, winning 2 matches, while Levante has also secured 2 victories. Notably, the matches tend to be high-scoring, which suggests that both teams can exploit defensive frailties when in good form.

Influencing Factors

The weather conditions for the match are set to be challenging, with temperatures around 12°C and light rain expected. This could impact the quality of play, particularly affecting ball control and passing accuracy. The humidity at 94% may further complicate matters for both teams.

Playing at the Estadio Ramón Sánchez Pizjuán, Sevilla will enjoy the home crowd’s support, which historically boosts their performance. The pressure to perform at home might work in Sevilla’s favor, but it could also lead to anxiety if they do not start the match well. Levante will need to rely on tactical discipline to withstand the home side’s pressure.

Prediction and Justification

Considering the current form, statistical history, and home advantage, Sevilla appears to be the favorite to win or at least secure a draw in this matchup. Their ability to capitalize on Levante’s defensive vulnerabilities will be crucial. I predict that Sevilla will emerge victorious with a score of 2:1, reflecting their slight edge in attacking options and the advantage of playing at home.