⚽ Genoa vs Pisa — Analytics and Prediction (03.01.2026)

Introduction

The upcoming Serie A match between Genoa and Pisa presents an intriguing clash as both teams strive for crucial points in their respective campaigns. Genoa, with a rich history in Italian football, will look to leverage their home advantage at the Stadio Comunale Luigi Ferraris. In contrast, Pisa, who have faced challenges this season, will aim to turn their fortunes around and secure a vital away result.

Form Analysis

Genoa’s recent form has been less than satisfactory, with a win rate of only 40% in their last five home matches. Despite this, they remain a formidable opponent on their turf, often managing to secure draws against tougher teams. Their ability to grind out results, even when not playing at their best, will be a significant factor in this match.

On the other hand, Pisa has had a dismal away record, winning just 7% of their last five matches on the road. This poor form indicates struggles in both defense and attack, making it difficult for them to secure points away from home. Their recent performances suggest a lack of confidence, which could be a major obstacle against a team like Genoa.

Statistical Analysis

When comparing the statistics of both teams, Genoa holds a clear advantage. Their recent home performances suggest a tendency to capitalize on opponent mistakes and maintain possession effectively. Furthermore, their defense, although not the strongest, has shown resilience against lower-tier teams.

Conversely, Pisa’s statistics reveal significant vulnerabilities, particularly in defense. They have struggled to keep clean sheets and often concede goals early in matches. The difference in statistical performance indicates that Genoa is more likely to create scoring opportunities, while Pisa may find it challenging to break through Genoa’s defense.

Head-to-Head History

The head-to-head record between Genoa and Pisa shows a slight edge for Genoa, with one win and one draw in their last two encounters. Genoa’s victory by a narrow margin in their last match-up reflects their ability to come out on top in tightly contested games. The historical context suggests that Genoa has a psychological advantage going into this fixture.

Influencing Factors

Several factors will influence the outcome of this match. The weather conditions at the Stadio Comunale Luigi Ferraris are expected to be favorable, with no significant rain predicted, which should allow for a free-flowing game. Additionally, playing at home provides Genoa with the backing of their supporters, who can create an intimidating atmosphere for visiting teams.

Genoa’s players will also benefit from the familiarity of their home pitch, which can be a crucial factor in tight matches. In contrast, Pisa will need to overcome their poor away form and the pressure of playing against a historically stronger opponent. The combination of these factors strongly favors Genoa in this matchup.

Prediction and Justification

Based on the analysis, Genoa is predicted to secure a victory or at least a draw against Pisa. Considering their home advantage, historical performance, and Pisa’s struggles, the expected outcome is a win for Genoa, with a likely score of 2:1. This prediction reflects both teams’ current form and their head-to-head history.