⚽ Pisa vs Como — Analytics and Prediction (06.01.2026)

Introduction

Both Pisa and Como are set to face off in what promises to be a compelling Serie A matchup. Pisa has struggled this season, with a dismal home form that stands at just 13%. Conversely, Como has been showing a much better performance on the road, achieving a form rating of 60%. This contrast in current form sets the stage for an interesting battle at the Arena Garibaldi.

Form Analysis

Pisa’s recent performances have left fans and analysts alike concerned. With a home record that has seen them only win 13% of their last five matches at home, the team is struggling to find their rhythm and capitalize on their home advantage. The pressure is mounting on the players and coaching staff to turn things around, especially with the support of their home crowd.

Como, on the other hand, has been in considerably better form while playing away. Their last five matches as visitors have demonstrated resilience and tactical discipline, contributing to a strong 60% performance rating. This away form indicates that they are capable of challenging Pisa effectively, particularly given Pisa’s struggles.

Statistical Analysis

When analyzing the statistics, it becomes evident that both teams have their strengths and weaknesses. Pisa has struggled to score, and their overall performance metrics reflect this, with a high likelihood of low-scoring games, as seen in their historical encounters. Como, conversely, has managed to secure draws in their past meetings with Pisa, indicating a knack for holding on against them. The average score in their last five head-to-heads was 3.2, suggesting that while goals are possible, the likelihood of a tightly contested match is high.

In terms of probabilities, Pisa stands at a mere 10% chance of winning, with both a draw and Como winning sitting at 45% each. This statistical breakdown further emphasizes the challenge Pisa faces and the potential for Como to either secure a victory or at least a draw.

Head-to-Head History

The head-to-head history between Pisa and Como shows a pattern of closely contested matches. Of their last five encounters, Pisa has won just once, while Como remains winless against them. However, four of those matches ended in draws, indicating that matches between these two teams often result in tightly contested affairs. With both teams looking to make their mark, this history could play a pivotal role in the upcoming match.

Influencing Factors

The weather conditions during the match could significantly impact the game. With a temperature of 4°C and light rain expected, the pitch may become slippery, which could hinder both teams’ ability to execute their game plans effectively. Such conditions often lead to lower scoring games, which aligns with the statistical trend of low goals in their previous meetings.

Additionally, playing at Arena Garibaldi means Pisa will have the advantage of familiar surroundings and home support. However, given their poor form at home, this edge may not be as pronounced as they would hope. Como’s recent away performances suggest they can handle the pressure, which may allow them to exploit any weaknesses in Pisa’s game.

Prediction and Justification

Taking into account the current form, head-to-head history, and weather conditions, the prediction leans towards Como securing at least a draw. Given their stronger away form and Pisa’s struggles at home, a likely outcome could see Como edging out with a win or, at the very least, a draw. The expected scoreline for this match is likely to be 1:2 in favor of Como, reflecting both teams’ recent performances and statistical analysis.