⚽ Cremonese vs Cagliari — Analytics and Prediction (08.01.2026)

Introduction

In the upcoming Serie A match, Cremonese will host Cagliari at the Stadio Giovanni Zini. Both teams are in a challenging position this season, with Cremonese struggling to find their form at home, while Cagliari has shown a slightly better performance on the road. The match presents an opportunity for both teams to secure crucial points as they aim to improve their standings in the league.

Form Analysis

Cremonese’s recent form at home has been disappointing, with only a 27% success rate in their last five matches. The team has struggled to convert their chances into goals, and their defense has also been vulnerable, leading to a lack of confidence among the players. This lack of form will be a significant concern as they prepare to face a team that has had more success away from home.

On the other hand, Cagliari has demonstrated a better away form, achieving a 47% success rate in their last five matches. They have managed to secure some valuable points on the road, showcasing a more resilient performance compared to Cremonese. This could give them the psychological edge going into the match, as they look to continue their upward trend in form.

Statistical Analysis

Analyzing both teams statistically, Cremonese has not been able to capitalize on their home advantage, as reflected in their performance metrics. With only 10% probability of winning, their chances of securing a victory seem slim. In contrast, Cagliari’s chances of winning stand at 45%, indicating a stronger overall performance this season. The head-to-head metrics also favor Cagliari, who has won their last two encounters against Cremonese without conceding a goal.

Cremonese’s goal-scoring difficulties are evident, and this could be a decisive factor in the match. Cagliari, with a more balanced attack and defensive setup, appears to have the upper hand statistically. The average score in their recent encounters has been 1.0, suggesting that a low-scoring game could be on the cards.

Head-to-Head History

In their last two meetings, Cagliari has dominated Cremonese, winning both matches 1-0. This trend not only reflects Cagliari’s tactical superiority but also highlights Cremonese’s ongoing struggles to break down Cagliari’s defense. The historical performance in these matchups sets a precedent that could influence the outcome of the upcoming game.

Influencing Factors

The weather conditions are expected to be relatively cold, with a temperature of 0°C and scattered clouds, which could affect player performance and the style of play. The home advantage typically plays a crucial role in Serie A, but Cremonese’s recent poor form at the Stadio Giovanni Zini may negate this factor. Cagliari will likely look to exploit any defensive weaknesses from Cremonese, aiming to maintain their solid away performance.

Additionally, the psychological aspect of the match cannot be ignored. Cagliari’s confidence from previous victories will boost their morale, while Cremonese’s lack of form could lead to increased pressure on the players to perform at home. This dynamic could significantly influence the match’s outcome.

Prediction and Justification

Given the current form, statistical analysis, head-to-head history, and influencing factors, the prediction leans towards a Cagliari victory or a draw. Cremonese’s inability to score consistently and Cagliari’s stronger away performance suggest a favorable outcome for the visitors. The likely scoreline for this match is 0:2, indicating a solid win for Cagliari as they capitalize on Cremonese’s vulnerabilities.