⚽ Manchester United vs Manchester City — Analytics and Prediction (17.01.2026)

Introduction

Manchester United and Manchester City are set to face off in a highly anticipated Premier League clash at Old Trafford. This match not only showcases the talent of both teams but also the fierce rivalry that defines the Manchester derby. Manchester United will be looking to assert their dominance at home, while Manchester City aims to maintain their strong form and capitalize on their recent successes against their local rivals.

Form Analysis

Manchester United’s recent form has been disappointing, with only 40% success in their last five home matches. The team has struggled to find consistency, often leaving fans frustrated with their performances. Key players must step up to turn the tide, but the pressure is mounting as they face a formidable opponent.

In contrast, Manchester City has shown impressive form on the road, boasting a 60% success rate in their last five away games. The Cityzens are in a confident mood, with their attacking prowess and tactical flexibility making them a threat to any defense. Their recent performances suggest they are well-prepared for this derby and eager to extend their unbeaten streak.

Statistical Analysis

Analyzing the statistics, Manchester United has had mixed results in their last five encounters with Manchester City, winning only once, with two draws and two losses. The average scoreline from these matches indicates a tendency for high-scoring games, with three out of five seeing more than two goals.

On the other hand, Manchester City’s recent head-to-head statistics are more favorable, having secured victories in two of the last five encounters. Their ability to score consistently, coupled with a solid defense, highlights their strength in this rivalry. The current statistical outlook suggests that City has the upper hand going into this match, particularly given their recent performances.

Head-to-Head History

The head-to-head history between these two teams reveals a competitive rivalry. In the last five matches, Manchester City has won twice while Manchester United has secured victory once, with two games ending in draws. The last encounter ended in a convincing 3-0 win for Manchester City, emphasizing their ability to dominate in crucial moments, particularly in high-stakes matches.

Influencing Factors

Weather conditions may play a significant role in the match, with a temperature of 7°C, high humidity at 88%, and overcast skies anticipated during the game. Such conditions can affect player performance, particularly in terms of stamina and ball control. Both teams will need to adapt to these elements to optimize their gameplay.

The match will take place at Old Trafford, a venue where Manchester United traditionally has a strong home advantage. However, their recent home form has not reflected this advantage, which could level the playing field against a confident Manchester City side. Home support will be crucial for United, but they must also deliver a performance worthy of their fans.

Prediction and Justification

Considering the recent form, statistical analysis, and head-to-head history, the prediction leans towards Manchester City securing at least a draw in this match. United’s struggles at home and City’s strong away record indicate that the Cityzens are likely to maintain their momentum. Therefore, the final score is predicted to be 1:2 in favor of Manchester City. This score reflects City’s current advantages over United, especially in crucial matches like this derby.