⚽ AS Roma vs Sassuolo — Analytics and Prediction (10.01.2026)

Introduction

AS Roma will face Sassuolo in an intriguing Serie A matchup at the iconic Stadio Olimpico. AS Roma, under the guidance of their tactically astute manager, has been demonstrating solid performances at home, making them formidable opponents. Sassuolo, however, has struggled in recent away matches, raising concerns about their ability to compete in this fixture. The contrasting forms of both teams suggest a challenging encounter for the visiting side.

Form Analysis

AS Roma’s recent home form has been impressive, with a win rate of 60% over their last five games. Their ability to control matches and create scoring opportunities has been a hallmark of their play, complemented by a sturdy defense. Players like Paulo Dybala and Tammy Abraham have been crucial in spearheading their attack, contributing to the team’s overall confidence and morale.

On the other hand, Sassuolo has found themselves in a difficult situation, managing only a 20% win rate in their last five away matches. Their struggles can be attributed to a lack of consistency in both defense and attack, often leading to missed opportunities and defensive lapses. This inconsistency puts additional pressure on Sassuolo as they head into a challenging fixture against a strong Roma side.

Statistical Analysis

When comparing the statistics of both teams, AS Roma clearly has the upper hand. In the last five encounters against Sassuolo, Roma has secured three victories, while Sassuolo has managed to win only once, with one match ending in a draw. The average scoreline of 2.8 goals per game in these encounters indicates that matches between these teams tend to be high-scoring. Furthermore, Roma’s home advantage is significant, as they tend to perform better in front of their fans, contributing to their higher win probability of 45%.

Sassuolo’s statistics highlight their struggles, especially in away matches where they have failed to find their rhythm. Their 10% win probability reflects their difficulty in securing points on the road, which could be detrimental in this match against a well-organized Roma team. The last five head-to-head encounters also reveal a trend of Roma’s dominance, further emphasizing their likelihood of success.

Head-to-Head History

The history between AS Roma and Sassuolo shows a competitive rivalry, although Roma holds the upper hand with three wins in their last five meetings. Sassuolo’s notable victory came in a high-scoring affair, 4-3, indicating their capability to challenge Roma when at their best. However, the recent trend favors Roma, who have managed to maintain a strong record against Sassuolo, suggesting that the odds are stacked in their favor for this encounter.

Influencing Factors

The match will take place at the Stadio Olimpico, where AS Roma enjoys a significant home advantage. The passionate support from their fans can elevate the team’s performance, making it difficult for the visitors. Additionally, weather conditions could play a role, as any adverse weather may impact Sassuolo’s already shaky away form, further complicating their efforts to secure a positive result.

Moreover, AS Roma’s players are in good form and health, which is crucial for maintaining momentum in crucial matches. In contrast, if Sassuolo fails to address their defensive frailties, they could struggle to keep Roma at bay, which could lead to a challenging night for the visitors.

Prediction and Justification

Given the current form of both teams and the historical context of their encounters, AS Roma is favored to secure a victory, or at the very least, avoid defeat. With their home advantage and the struggles of Sassuolo in away matches, it is reasonable to predict a win for Roma, likely with a scoreline reflecting their recent scoring trends. Therefore, the predicted score for this match is 2:1 in favor of AS Roma.