⚽ Benin vs Senegal — Analytics and Prediction (30.12.2025)

Introduction

Benin and Senegal are set to clash in an exciting match at the Africa Cup of Nations, showcasing two teams with contrasting recent performances. Benin has shown resilience in their last few matches, managing to secure a couple of wins against lower-ranked teams, while Senegal, despite their illustrious squad, has struggled to find form, suffering multiple defeats in their recent outings. This match will be crucial for both teams as they look to make an impact in the tournament and gain momentum moving forward.

Form Analysis

Benin’s recent form has been relatively stable, characterized by solid defensive performances, though they have struggled to convert chances into goals. Their most recent match ended in a narrow victory against Botswana, but prior to that, they faced defeats against stronger opponents like Burkina Faso and Morocco. However, their record shows a notable lack of scoring, which could be a concern moving into this match.

On the other hand, Senegal’s form has been alarming, with only one draw in their last five matches and four defeats. They faced a heavy defeat against Brazil, which may have impacted their confidence. However, Senegal’s previous dominating victory against Botswana and a massive 8-0 win against Kenya highlight their attacking potential. If they can recapture that form, they could pose a significant threat to Benin.

Statistical Analysis

When analyzing the statistics, Benin has a modest offensive record, scoring only a handful of goals in their recent matches. They have managed to keep a few clean sheets, indicating a strong defensive setup, but their inability to score consistently might limit their chances against a more potent Senegalese side. In contrast, Senegal has shown a more attacking style, especially against weaker teams, but their recent matches indicate a lack of cohesion and effectiveness in front of goal, often failing to convert opportunities into goals.

The head-to-head records between these teams suggest that Senegal has historically had the upper hand, winning three out of their last four encounters. This trend could play a psychological role in the match, giving Senegal an edge despite their current form.

Head-to-Head History

The head-to-head record between Benin and Senegal reveals a clear advantage for Senegal, who have won three of their last four encounters, with the sole draw occurring in 2019. This historical dominance could boost Senegal’s confidence, especially considering their tactical strengths and experience against Benin.

Influencing Factors

The match will take place at Stade Ibn-Batouta, a venue that can influence the game due to its atmosphere and pitch conditions. Home advantage could play a role for Benin, yet the overall experience of Senegal’s players might nullify this effect. Additionally, weather conditions should be monitored, as rain or extreme heat could impact the style of play and stamina of the athletes.

Furthermore, the referee, Samuel Uwikunda from Rwanda, will be crucial in maintaining the flow of the game, especially in a high-stakes match like this. The psychological factors, such as Senegal’s need to rebound from a poor run, will also be significant in determining the match’s outcome.

Prediction and Justification

Considering the current form, head-to-head history, and statistical analysis, it appears that Senegal has a higher chance of securing at least a draw, if not a win. Although they have struggled recently, their attacking prowess could be key against a Benin side that tends to play defensively. Therefore, I predict a closely contested match with Senegal edging it out, potentially with a scoreline of 1:2. The final outcome is likely to reflect Senegal’s need to assert themselves in the tournament.