⚽ Celje vs Shelbourne — Analytics and Prediction (18.12.2025)

Introduction

Both Celje and Shelbourne are set to face off in the UEFA Europa Conference League, each looking to secure a vital result in this thrilling encounter. Celje comes into this match with a strong home record and a favorable recent form, while Shelbourne struggles away from home, making this matchup particularly intriguing as both teams aim for European success.

Form Analysis

Celje has shown solid form in their last ten matches, securing four victories, one draw, and only one defeat. Their recent performances, although they faced some tough opponents, indicate that they are capable of competing at a high level, especially at home where their confidence tends to be higher. The team has been efficient in converting chances and maintaining possession, which will be crucial in this matchup.

On the other hand, Shelbourne’s recent form is less impressive, with three wins, one draw, and a notable recent loss streak. Their away form particularly has been concerning, as evidenced by their last five away games where they have only managed a meager 7% success rate. This lack of momentum could hinder their performance against a well-organized Celje side that has been performing better at home.

Statistical Analysis

When comparing the statistics of both teams, Celje boasts a significantly better home performance, winning 60% of their last five home matches. This contrasts sharply with Shelbourne’s poor away record, having only achieved a 7% success rate on the road in their recent matches. Additionally, Celje has shown better goal-scoring ability, while Shelbourne has struggled to find the back of the net consistently, which is evident from their last few matches where they failed to score against stronger opponents.

Celje’s overall statistics indicate a well-rounded team that can defend effectively while also posing a goal threat. In comparison, Shelbourne’s recent stats reflect a team that is lacking in both defensive solidity and attacking prowess, which could be detrimental in a competitive fixture such as this.

Head-to-Head History

There is limited head-to-head history between Celje and Shelbourne, which adds an element of unpredictability to this matchup. However, considering the current forms and performances of both teams, Celje appears to have the upper hand, especially playing at home where they are more comfortable.

Influencing Factors

The match will be played at Stadion Z’dežele under cool conditions with a temperature of 8°C and high humidity at 94%. These weather conditions could impact the play style, potentially favoring a more physical game. Celje’s home advantage is significant, as they are accustomed to the pitch and local support, which can often provide a morale boost. Additionally, the psychological edge of playing at home could play a crucial role in their performance.

The combination of Celje’s strong recent form, their home advantage, and Shelbourne’s struggles away from home suggests that Celje will be more favorable in this encounter.

Prediction and Justification

Given the analysis and the current form of both teams, Celje is predicted to win or secure a draw in this match. The statistics show a clear advantage for Celje, particularly at home, where they are likely to capitalize on Shelbourne’s away woes. The expected score is likely to be 2:1, reflecting Celje’s ability to score while Shelbourne may find it challenging to contain their attacks.