⚽ Crystal Palace vs Aston Villa — Analytics and Prediction (07.01.2026)

Introduction

Both Crystal Palace and Aston Villa are gearing up for an exciting clash in the Premier League at Selhurst Park. Crystal Palace comes into this match with a struggling form, having won only 7% of their last five games. In contrast, Aston Villa has shown a remarkable turnaround, boasting an 80% success rate in their recent away fixtures. This matchup promises to be crucial for both teams as they look to solidify their positions in the league standings.

Form Analysis

Crystal Palace’s recent performances have been dismal, reflected by their 7% form at home. The team has struggled to find the back of the net consistently and has faced challenges in maintaining defensive solidity. With only a couple of points gained recently, the pressure is mounting on their players and coaching staff to turn things around.

Aston Villa, on the other hand, has been in stellar form, particularly away from home, where they have been able to secure vital wins. With an 80% success rate in their last five away matches, the team has showcased a potent attacking lineup and a resilient defense, making them a formidable opponent for any team. Their confidence is high, and they will aim to capitalize on Crystal Palace’s misfortunes.

Statistical Analysis

Statistically, Crystal Palace has struggled in key areas, with low possession rates and an inability to convert chances into goals. Their defensive records have also been shaky, allowing multiple goals in several matches. In contrast, Aston Villa’s statistics paint a much more favorable picture, with impressive goal-scoring figures and solid defensive stats. Villa’s ability to create opportunities and capitalize on their chances has been a hallmark of their recent success, making them a tough competitor.

When comparing head-to-head metrics, both teams have had their share of victories in recent encounters. However, Crystal Palace has had a slight edge with two wins against Villa’s two, alongside a draw. The average score in these encounters has been high, indicating that both teams are capable of scoring, but Villa’s current form gives them an advantage heading into this match.

Head-to-Head History

The historical encounters between Crystal Palace and Aston Villa have been closely contested, with each team securing two wins over the last five meetings and one draw. Notably, Crystal Palace has proven to be a challenging opponent for Villa, winning their last two encounters decisively. This history could play a psychological role in the upcoming match, especially given the current form disparities.

Influencing Factors

The match will take place at Selhurst Park, where Crystal Palace enjoys home advantage. However, recent form suggests that this may not be enough to sway the outcome in their favor. The weather conditions, with a chilly temperature of 1°C and overcast clouds, could affect player performance, but should not heavily favor either side. Aston Villa’s current confidence and form will likely outweigh any home advantage Palace might have.

Prediction and Justification

Considering the current form and statistical analysis of both teams, it appears that Aston Villa holds the upper hand going into this fixture. With their solid away performance and Crystal Palace’s struggle for form, the prediction leans towards an Aston Villa win or a draw. Therefore, the match is expected to end with Aston Villa taking the lead, resulting in a predicted score of 1:2.