⚽ Dynamo Kyiv vs FC Noah — Analytics and Prediction (18.12.2025)

Introduction

In the upcoming UEFA Europa Conference League match, Dynamo Kyiv will face FC Noah, a clash that promises to be intriguing given the contrasting fortunes of both teams recently. Dynamo Kyiv, traditionally a strong side in Eastern European football, has struggled for consistency this season, while FC Noah has shown resilience and adaptability, particularly in away fixtures. This match will be critical for both teams as they aim to progress in the tournament and gain momentum heading into the final stages of the group phase.

Form Analysis

Dynamo Kyiv’s recent form has been a mixed bag, with only three wins out of their last ten matches. They have recorded two losses in their last five outings, including a disappointing run where they lost to Omonia Nicosia and SK Poltava. Their home form has been particularly concerning, with only a 20% win rate in their last five home games, which will certainly weigh on their confidence going into this match.

On the other hand, FC Noah has experienced a slightly better run, securing one win, three draws, and only one loss in their last five matches. Their away form stands at 53%, suggesting they are capable of performing outside their home ground. The recent draw against Legia Warszawa indicates that they can compete with stronger teams, giving them a psychological advantage going into this tie.

Statistical Analysis

When comparing the statistics, Dynamo Kyiv has struggled to find the back of the net consistently, which is reflected in their recent matches where they only managed to score three goals in their last five games. Their defense also seems vulnerable, having conceded multiple goals against teams like Fiorentina and Omonia Nicosia.

In contrast, FC Noah has been more balanced, averaging two goals per game in their last five outings, demonstrating a more effective attacking strategy. Their ability to draw matches shows their resilience, especially in tight situations, which could be crucial in a competitive environment like the Europa Conference League. The likelihood of scoring from both sides appears relatively balanced, but FC Noah’s recent form suggests they may edge the attacking metrics.

Head-to-Head History

As of now, there is no significant historical context available between Dynamo Kyiv and FC Noah, as they have not faced each other in competitive fixtures. This lack of direct encounters means that both teams will approach the match without the influence of past results, creating a level playing field where current form and strategy will be paramount.

Influencing Factors

The match will be played at Motor Lublin Arena, and the weather conditions are expected to be clear with a temperature of 2°C. The cold might affect the pace of the game, favoring teams that can adapt better to such conditions. Dynamo Kyiv will have the home advantage, which traditionally boosts performance, but given their current form, this advantage might not be as pronounced.

Additionally, the high humidity of 90% could lead to fatigue, impacting players’ stamina and performance towards the end of the match. FC Noah’s recent ability to perform well in challenging away conditions could provide them with the necessary edge to secure at least a draw in this encounter.

Prediction and Justification

Considering the current form, statistical analysis, and influencing factors, FC Noah appears to have the upper hand going into this match. Their ability to adapt in away games, coupled with Dynamo Kyiv’s shaky home performance, suggests a high likelihood of either a draw or an FC Noah victory. Therefore, the prediction for this match is that FC Noah will either win or draw, with a likely scoreline of 1:2 in favor of FC Noah.