⚽ Elche vs Rayo Vallecano — Analytics and Prediction (21.12.2025)

Introduction

Elche will be facing Rayo Vallecano in a crucial La Liga encounter at the Estadio Manuel Martínez Valero. Both teams have had a mixed start to the season, and this match represents an opportunity for each to solidify their standing in the league. Elche, with a stronger home record, will aim to capitalize on their advantage against a struggling Rayo Vallecano side that has shown inconsistency in recent matches. With both teams looking for valuable points, the stakes could not be higher in this matchup.

Form Analysis

Elche has shown a commendable performance in their recent outings, securing three wins in their last four matches. The team has displayed resilience, notably winning against Girona with a solid 3-0 victory, suggesting they have the capability of scoring when needed. However, their inconsistent form in away matches poses concerns as they have managed only one win in their last five away games. This home advantage will be crucial for Elche as they look to build momentum.

On the other hand, Rayo Vallecano’s form has been less impressive, with only one win in their last four games. Their recent results, including a 0-0 draw against Real Betis and a 0-1 loss to Espanyol, highlight their struggle to convert chances into goals. The away side’s lack of scoring prowess, paired with a mere 27% success rate in their last five away matches, places them at a disadvantage heading into this clash.

Statistical Analysis

When analyzing the statistics, Elche has a clear edge in terms of recent performance metrics. In their last ten matches, they have registered three wins and only one loss, indicating a relatively stable form. In contrast, Rayo Vallecano’s recent statistics reflect only one win, one draw, and two losses, showcasing their difficulties in maintaining consistent performance.

The head-to-head record also favors Elche, who have historically dominated Rayo Vallecano, winning four out of the last five encounters. Furthermore, Elche’s scoring ability has been evident, as they have scored an average of three goals in their recent meetings, whereas Rayo Vallecano has struggled to find the back of the net consistently.

Head-to-Head History

The head-to-head history between Elche and Rayo Vallecano provides additional insight into the dynamics of this matchup. Elche has a strong historical advantage over Rayo Vallecano, winning four of their last five encounters. Notably, Elche’s impressive 4-0 victory in their last home game against Rayo further cements their dominance. Rayo Vallecano has struggled to perform well against Elche, which may weigh heavily on their players’ confidence heading into this match.

Influencing Factors

Additionally, Rayo Vallecano’s away form has been concerning, and the pressure to perform away from home could lead to mistakes and missed opportunities. Elche will likely look to exploit this weakness, aiming to secure a victory or at least a draw in front of their home fans.

Prediction and Justification

Given the analysis of both teams’ form, historical performance, and influencing factors, the prediction leans in favor of Elche. With their solid home performance and Rayo Vallecano’s struggles, it is reasonable to expect that Elche will either win or at least secure a draw. The predicted outcome is a win for Elche, with a final score of 2:1, as they take advantage of their home ground and capitalize on Rayo Vallecano’s defensive frailties.