⚽ Elche vs Villarreal — Analytics and Prediction (03.01.2026)

Introduction

Elche will face Villarreal in an intriguing La Liga clash at the Estadio Manuel Martínez Valero. The home side, Elche, is battling to secure crucial points as they navigate through a challenging season. Villarreal, on the other hand, is riding high on a wave of form and aims to solidify their position in the upper half of the table. The contrasting fortunes of both teams make this match a fascinating encounter, with Elche looking to capitalize on their home advantage against a formidable Villarreal side.

Form Analysis

Elche’s recent form has been underwhelming, with just 47% success in their last five matches. This lack of consistency has left them vulnerable, as they struggle to find the winning formula. Their performances indicate a need for improvement, especially in defense, where they have been conceding goals at critical moments.

Conversely, Villarreal has been in impressive form, boasting an 80% success rate in their last five away games. Their attacking prowess and solid defensive structure have made them a tough opponent. With a strong squad and effective tactics, Villarreal will be looking to maintain their momentum and continue their push for a European spot.

Statistical Analysis

In comparing the statistics of both teams, Villarreal clearly holds the edge. They have scored significantly more goals than Elche this season, while also maintaining a superior defensive record. Elche’s goal differential reflects their struggles, as they have often failed to convert chances into goals. Villarreal’s efficiency in front of the net, combined with a solid backline, positions them as favorites in this matchup.

Head-to-head metrics further reinforce Villarreal’s dominance, having secured four victories against Elche in their last five encounters. The average score in these matches has been heavily skewed towards Villarreal, indicating their ability to outscore Elche consistently.

Head-to-Head History

The historical encounters between Elche and Villarreal have favored the visitors. Villarreal has won four out of the last five meetings, with Elche managing just one draw. The results show a pattern where Villarreal has often overpowered Elche, both at home and away. This trend will undoubtedly play a psychological factor as Elche prepares to face a team that has historically had the upper hand.

Influencing Factors

The match will take place under overcast conditions, with a temperature of 13°C and high humidity at 81%. These weather conditions could potentially impact player performance, particularly for a team like Elche, who may struggle with the physical demands of the game. Playing at home, Elche will hope to leverage the familiar surroundings of the Estadio Manuel Martínez Valero to their advantage, yet their recent form does not inspire confidence.

Villarreal’s strong away form is a critical factor in this match. Their ability to perform on the road, combined with a squad rich in talent, makes them formidable opponents. The psychological edge they hold from previous victories against Elche could also play a significant role in the outcome of this match.

Prediction and Justification

Considering the form, statistics, and historical performance, Villarreal is favored to either win or draw this match against Elche. With a solid away record and the ability to score goals consistently, Villarreal is likely to secure at least a point, if not all three. The prediction for this match is a Villarreal victory with a probable score of 1:2. This score reflects Villarreal’s attacking capabilities while acknowledging Elche’s potential to find the net at home.