⚽ Everton vs Brentford — Analytics and Prediction (04.01.2026)

Introduction

Both Everton and Brentford are set to clash in an intriguing Premier League match. Everton, playing at home, will be looking to leverage their historical dominance over Brentford, while the visitors aim to secure a crucial away win to enhance their standing in the league. The stakes are high for both teams as they strive to improve their performances in an intensely competitive league environment.

Form Analysis

Everton has struggled recently, with a form rating of just 47% over their last five home matches. Their inconsistency has left fans longing for the solid performances they had earlier in the season. The team needs to find a way to convert their chances into goals, as well as tighten their defense to avoid conceding easy goals.

In contrast, Brentford has fared slightly better, boasting a form rating of 53% in their last five away matches. Their ability to steal points on the road has been commendable, and they will be looking to capitalize on Everton’s vulnerabilities. Brentford’s attacking unit has shown promise, but they need to maintain their focus to secure points against a determined Everton side.

Statistical Analysis

When examining the statistics, Everton has a historical edge in their head-to-head encounters with Brentford, winning two out of their last five meetings. However, their recent form suggests that they may not be as dominant as in previous seasons. The average score from their last five encounters stands at 1.6 goals per match, indicating a trend towards low-scoring affairs.

Brentford, while having secured one victory in their last five encounters, has shown resilience in matches against tougher opponents. They need to enhance their goal-scoring ability if they are to compete effectively against Everton. Additionally, the likelihood of matches exceeding 2.5 goals has only occurred in one out of the last five encounters between these teams, highlighting a potential trend towards defensively oriented games.

Head-to-Head History

The head-to-head history between Everton and Brentford showcases a competitive rivalry. In their last five meetings, Everton has claimed victory in two matches, while Brentford has managed to secure one win, with two matches ending in draws. This balance indicates that while Everton has had the upper hand, Brentford is capable of challenging them, especially with their recent form.

Influencing Factors

The weather conditions during the match could play a significant role, with temperatures expected to drop to around 3°C and light snow forecasted. Such conditions may favor a more cautious approach from both teams, potentially leading to fewer goals. Playing at Hill Dickinson Stadium, Everton will benefit from the home advantage, where they tend to perform better despite their recent struggles. However, Brentford’s away form suggests they are not to be underestimated.

Moreover, the pressure of the match will weigh heavily on both teams. For Everton, the need to secure points at home is paramount to avoid slipping further down the table. Meanwhile, Brentford will be eager to capitalize on Everton’s vulnerabilities and secure vital away points that could bolster their campaign.

Prediction and Justification

Taking into account the statistical data, historical performances, and current form, the prediction leans towards Everton securing at least a draw. Given their historical advantage and home support, they are likely to fight hard for a positive result. The predicted scoreline is 2:1 in favor of Everton, reflecting their potential to edge out Brentford in a closely contested match.