⚽ FC Augsburg vs Werder Bremen — Analytics and Prediction (20.12.2025)

Introduction

FC Augsburg will face Werder Bremen in an upcoming Bundesliga clash at WWK Arena. Augsburg has shown resilience this season, often leveraging their home advantage, while Bremen struggles to find consistency, making this matchup intriguing for fans and analysts alike.

With FC Augsburg coming off a mixed set of results, including a significant win against Bayer Leverkusen, they will be looking to capitalize on their home form. On the other hand, Werder Bremen’s recent performances have raised concerns, particularly their heavy defeats, highlighting a defensive frailty that could be exploited by the hosts.

Form Analysis

FC Augsburg’s form has been relatively stable, boasting 5 wins in their last 10 matches. Their recent victory against Bayer Leverkusen demonstrates their ability to perform under pressure. However, they also experienced setbacks against teams like Eintracht Frankfurt and Hoffenheim, suggesting that while they can secure wins, inconsistencies remain a concern.

In contrast, Werder Bremen has struggled significantly, with only 1 win in their last 10 matches, and a concerning trend of conceding goals. Their inability to secure points away from home, reflected in a dismal 27% form in their last five away games, poses a significant challenge as they visit Augsburg. The team’s recent performances indicate a lack of defensive cohesion and a struggle to convert chances into goals.

Statistical Analysis

When comparing the statistics of both teams, Augsburg has a notable home advantage, with a 40% success rate in their last five home matches. They have managed to score in crucial moments, with a positive goal difference in their recent games. Meanwhile, Werder Bremen’s away form has been disappointing, characterized by a low scoring rate and a high number of goals conceded.

In head-to-head matchups, Augsburg and Bremen have each won 2 of their last 5 encounters, with 1 draw. However, Augsburg’s strong home record against Bremen, including a recent 2-0 victory, suggests that they will be confident heading into this match. The statistical edge leans towards Augsburg, particularly given Bremen’s defensive struggles.

Head-to-Head History

The history between FC Augsburg and Werder Bremen is relatively balanced, with both teams securing 2 wins each in their last 5 meetings and 1 draw. However, the most recent encounters favor Augsburg, who have managed to secure victories and maintain a competitive edge when playing at home.

The average scoreline of their recent meetings stands at 2.8 goals, indicating a propensity for high-scoring matches, which could play into Augsburg’s hands given their current form.

Influencing Factors

Weather conditions during the match are expected to be cool, with a temperature around 5°C and broken clouds, which should not significantly impact play. The WWK Arena, known for its supportive home crowd, will be a crucial factor as Augsburg looks to leverage their home advantage.

Augsburg’s solid home record and the psychological edge from recent matchups against Bremen could sway momentum in their favor. In contrast, Bremen’s struggles to adapt away from home and their recent form issues may hinder their performance.

Prediction and Justification

Given the analysis, FC Augsburg is likely to secure a positive result against Werder Bremen, with their home advantage and recent form playing pivotal roles. The prediction leans towards a win or draw for Augsburg, with the most probable scoreline being 2:1. This conclusion is drawn from their recent performances, statistical advantages, and Bremen’s defensive vulnerabilities, suggesting Augsburg will capitalize on their opportunities effectively.