⚽ Girona vs Atletico Madrid — Analytics and Prediction (21.12.2025)

Introduction

In the upcoming La Liga clash, Girona will host Atletico Madrid at the Estadio Municipal de Montilivi. This match presents an interesting showdown between a team striving for consistency in Girona and a historically dominant Atletico Madrid. Girona, having shown some resilience in recent matches, will look to capitalize on their home advantage, while Atletico Madrid aims to bounce back from a rocky patch in their form. Both teams have their own motivations, with Girona eager to secure valuable points and Atletico Madrid aiming to reclaim their position among the top contenders in the league.

Form Analysis

Girona’s recent form has been a mixed bag, with 2 wins, 2 draws, and only 1 loss in their last five matches. Their latest performance saw them narrowly defeat Real Sociedad, showcasing their potential to challenge stronger teams. However, they suffered a heavy defeat to Elche and a loss to Ourense CF, indicating vulnerability in their defense. Playing at home, Girona has managed to maintain a 53% success rate, which provides a glimmer of hope as they face Atletico Madrid.

On the other hand, Atletico Madrid has experienced a more tumultuous run with 2 wins and 3 losses in their last five matches. Despite a win against Valencia, they faced disappointing defeats against Athletic Club and Barcelona. Their 60% form away from home is slightly better, but their recent inconsistency raises questions about their performance under pressure. Both teams are in search of stability, making this encounter crucial for their campaigns.

Statistical Analysis

Analyzing statistics from both teams reveals that Atletico Madrid has historically been the stronger side in their encounters. In their last five head-to-head matches, Atletico has won 3 times compared to Girona’s 2 victories, with an average score of 3.8 goals per match, indicating a propensity for high-scoring games. Girona’s current season stats show they struggle to maintain clean sheets, while Atletico’s defense has also shown signs of weakness, particularly in recent outings. This match could likely see both teams find the net, but Atletico’s attacking prowess might tilt the scales in their favor.

When comparing team performances, Girona has a notable ability to score in crucial moments, while Atletico Madrid has a wealth of experience in tight situations. The pressure will be on both defenses to hold firm, but statistics suggest that Atletico’s firepower could exploit any defensive lapses from Girona.

Head-to-Head History

The head-to-head history between Girona and Atletico Madrid shows a competitive rivalry. Atletico has a slight edge with 3 wins to Girona’s 2 in their last five meetings, including a decisive 4-0 victory in Girona’s last home match against them. However, Girona managed an impressive 4-3 victory in one of their encounters, indicating their capability to compete at the highest level when the stakes are high. This history adds an intriguing layer to the upcoming match, as both teams look to assert dominance.

Influencing Factors

Additionally, Atletico Madrid’s experience in high-pressure situations may prove crucial. With players accustomed to performing under the spotlight, they may have the edge in crucial moments. Girona will need to leverage their home advantage and capitalize on any defensive errors from Atletico to secure a positive result.

Prediction and Justification

Based on the analysis, Atletico Madrid is favored to secure either a win or a draw in this matchup. Their historical performance and recent form suggest they can manage to outperform Girona, despite their inconsistencies. The prediction for the match is a scoreline of 1:2 in favor of Atletico Madrid. With both teams showing vulnerabilities, it is likely that Atletico will find the net more often and ultimately claim the victory with a probable score of 1:2.