⚽ Hamburger SV vs Eintracht Frankfurt — Analytics and Prediction (20.12.2025)

Introduction

Hamburger SV and Eintracht Frankfurt are set to clash in an intriguing Bundesliga matchup at the Volksparkstadion. Hamburger SV, currently showing a strong home presence, will be looking to capitalize on their recent form, while Eintracht Frankfurt aims to recover from a disappointing run of results. Both teams are under pressure to secure points, but the contrasting performance levels make this encounter particularly compelling.

Form Analysis

Hamburger SV has demonstrated an impressive run lately, winning four out of their last five matches. Their sole defeat came against 1899 Hoffenheim, but they bounced back with wins over Werder Bremen and VfB Stuttgart, showcasing their attacking prowess and resilience. At home, they have a 47% form rate, indicating a solid but not overwhelming advantage on their turf.

On the other hand, Eintracht Frankfurt has struggled significantly in their recent outings, managing only one victory in their last five games. Their performances have been marred by heavy defeats, including a 6-0 loss to RB Leipzig and a 3-0 defeat to Atalanta. With a 67% away form rate, they have shown some promise on the road but lack consistency, making them vulnerable against a confident Hamburger side.

Statistical Analysis

In comparing the statistics, Hamburger SV boasts a more favorable attacking record in recent matches, having scored multiple goals in key victories. Their ability to find the back of the net frequently bodes well for their chances. Conversely, Eintracht Frankfurt has struggled defensively, conceding goals in bunches, which has severely impacted their match outcomes.

Historically, the head-to-head records are somewhat balanced, with Eintracht Frankfurt edging out in the last five encounters, winning two and drawing two. However, Hamburger SV did manage a victory in one of those matches, indicating that they can compete with Frankfurt when it counts. The statistics suggest that while both teams have their strengths, Hamburger SV currently holds the upper hand in overall form and confidence.

Head-to-Head History

The head-to-head history between Hamburger SV and Eintracht Frankfurt reveals a competitive rivalry. In their last five meetings, Eintracht Frankfurt has won twice, while Hamburger SV has secured one victory, with two matches ending in draws. The average score across these encounters has been 1.8 goals, with three of the five matches featuring more than two goals.

Influencing Factors

The match will take place at the Volksparkstadion, where Hamburger SV generally enjoys strong support from their fans. The weather conditions are expected to be chilly, with a temperature of 5°C and overcast clouds, which could affect the pace of play and the energy levels of the players. Additionally, the high humidity of 93% might lead to fatigue, influencing the overall performance as the match progresses.

Home advantage is a crucial factor for Hamburger SV. Their recent home form indicates they are capable of making the most of their surroundings, especially against a Frankfurt side that has shown vulnerabilities on the road. This context may ultimately tip the scales in favor of the home team during the match.

Prediction and Justification

Considering the current form, statistics, and head-to-head history, it appears that Hamburger SV will have the edge in this matchup. Their recent performances suggest they are more cohesive and confident compared to Eintracht Frankfurt, who are struggling to find their rhythm. Therefore, the prediction leans towards a victory for Hamburger SV, with a likely score of 2:1.