⚽ Inter vs Bologna — Analytics and Prediction (04.01.2026)

Introduction

Inter Milan will face Bologna in what promises to be an intriguing Serie A clash at the iconic Stadio Giuseppe Meazza. Inter, known for their strong attacking play and robust defense, will be looking to solidify their position in the league, while Bologna aims to pull off an upset against a formidable opponent. Both teams have shown contrasting performances in recent matches, setting the stage for a compelling encounter.

Bologna, on the other hand, has struggled away from home, with only one win in their last five matches. Their recent form has raised concerns about their ability to compete against top-tier teams like Inter, especially in a hostile environment. With a mix of tactical discipline and individual flair, Bologna will need to find a way to upset the odds against a team that has historically been a tough opponent.

Form Analysis

Inter is currently in excellent form with an impressive 80% success rate in their last five home games. Their ability to dominate possession and create goal-scoring opportunities has been key to their recent successes. Players like Lautaro Martínez and Nicolò Barella have been instrumental in their attacking plays, ensuring that the team remains a constant threat in the final third. Inter’s home advantage will play a crucial role, as they have typically performed well at the Meazza.

Conversely, Bologna has struggled significantly in their recent away outings, managing only a 33% success rate in their last five games. Their inability to secure points on the road has been a significant concern, as they often find it challenging to break down organized defenses. With key players potentially lacking form, Bologna must find a way to improve their performance if they are to earn any points from this match. It will be vital for them to adopt a more aggressive approach and capitalize on any defensive lapses by Inter.

Statistical Analysis

When examining the statistical data, Inter clearly has the upper hand, with a solid record against Bologna in their recent encounters. In their last five meetings, Inter has won just once, while Bologna has emerged victorious twice, with two matches ending in draws. However, the average score across these matches suggests a competitive edge for Inter, with a total of 2.2 goals per match.

Bologna’s scoring has been inconsistent, and they will need to find a way to penetrate Inter’s defense, which has been well-organized and resilient. The fact that both teams have seen at least two goals in two of their last five meetings indicates that while Inter may dominate, Bologna can also pose a threat if given the chance. This statistical backdrop suggests a possible high-scoring affair, but Inter’s home advantage could tilt the scales in their favor.

Head-to-Head History

The recent head-to-head history between Inter and Bologna demonstrates a competitive rivalry, with both teams having their moments. Bologna’s surprising victories in the past have shown their capacity to challenge Inter, yet the overall trend leans towards Inter’s dominance, especially at home. The last five encounters resulted in one win for Inter, two for Bologna, and two draws, highlighting the unpredictability of this matchup.

Despite Bologna’s past successes, Inter’s recent strong form at home and overall quality make them favorites heading into this match. Historical data suggests that Inter tends to find an extra gear when playing at the Meazza, which will be critical in this matchup.

Influencing Factors

The match will take place under clear skies with a temperature of 1°C, creating a challenging environment for both teams. The cold weather could impact player performance, particularly for Bologna, who may not be accustomed to playing in such conditions. The Stadio Giuseppe Meazza is renowned for its electric atmosphere, and Inter will undoubtedly benefit from the support of their home fans, which could help them maintain high energy levels throughout the match.

Additionally, Inter’s solid home form adds another layer of complexity for Bologna as they aim to overcome their away struggles. The combination of the venue, weather, and home advantage heavily favors Inter, making it imperative for Bologna to adapt quickly if they hope to secure a positive result.

Prediction and Justification

Given the analysis of both teams’ current form, historical performances, and the influencing factors at play, Inter Milan is poised to emerge victorious against Bologna. While Bologna has the potential to score, their inconsistent away form and Inter’s strong home advantage suggest that the latter will ultimately prevail. The predicted score for this match is 2:1, reflecting a competitive encounter where Inter’s attacking prowess may just edge out Bologna’s efforts.