⚽ Lecce vs Parma — Analytics and Prediction (11.01.2026)

Introduction

Both Lecce and Parma are gearing up for an intriguing Serie A clash that promises to be pivotal for both teams as they navigate their respective seasons. Lecce, currently struggling at home, aims to leverage their historical advantage over Parma, while the latter is looking to build on recent away form to secure crucial points in their bid for mid-table stability. The match at Stadio Ettore Giardiniero will be crucial for both teams as they aim to improve their standings in the league.

Form Analysis

Lecce’s recent form at home has been disappointing, with only a 27% success rate in their last five matches. They have struggled to find consistent performance, leaving them vulnerable to opponents. The lack of scoring power and defensive frailties at home have plagued them, contributing to their current position in the league.

In contrast, Parma has shown a better away form with a 47% success rate in their last five outings. Their ability to secure points on the road could be a significant advantage in this match. Parma’s recent performances have been marked by a more effective attack and a resilient defense, making them a tough opponent for Lecce.

Statistical Analysis

When comparing the statistics of both teams, Parma holds a slight edge in key areas. Lecce has recorded just one win against Parma in their last five encounters, showcasing their struggles against this specific opponent. Parma has been more prolific in attack, averaging more goals per match, which is reflected in their overall league performance.

In terms of head-to-head metrics, Parma has won three times compared to Lecce’s one victory, with one match ending in a draw. The average scoreline of 3.2 goals per game indicates that both teams are capable of scoring, but Lecce’s defense has been their Achilles’ heel, often conceding more than they score.

Head-to-Head History

The historical context of Lecce vs. Parma indicates a competitive rivalry, with Parma having the upper hand in recent meetings. Notably, Lecce’s last win came in a 1-0 victory, but overall, Parma has managed to dominate with three wins out of the last five encounters. This trend reflects a psychological edge that Parma may carry into the match.

Influencing Factors

Additionally, Parma’s recent form and confidence from previous matches will certainly impact their approach. If they can maintain their attacking momentum while solidifying their defense, they will likely have the upper hand. Lecce must find a way to capitalize on their home advantage to turn their season around.

Prediction and Justification

Considering the current form, statistical advantages, and historical head-to-head performance, the prediction leans towards a favorable outcome for Parma. Lecce’s vulnerabilities at home, coupled with Parma’s improved away form, suggest that Parma is more likely to secure points in this match. Therefore, a score of 1:2 is anticipated, with Parma potentially taking the win or at least securing a draw against Lecce.