⚽ Lecce vs Pisa — Analytics and Prediction (12.12.2025)

Introduction

Both Lecce and Pisa are gearing up for an important match in Serie A, each looking to gain crucial points. Lecce has shown a mix of results in their recent outings, while Pisa is aiming to bounce back from a string of disappointing performances, particularly in away games. The match at Stadio Ettore Giardiniero is set to be a critical fixture for both teams as they navigate the competitive landscape of the league.

Form Analysis

Lecce’s recent form is somewhat encouraging, having secured three wins in their last ten matches, with a notable victory against Torino and a solid performance against Fiorentina. However, they have also suffered defeats against Cremonese and Lazio, indicating inconsistency. Playing at home, Lecce has demonstrated a slightly better performance with a win rate of 47% in their last five home games, suggesting they are tough to beat at Stadio Ettore Giardiniero.

On the other hand, Pisa has struggled in recent matches, managing only two wins in their last ten games. Their draws against Torino and Sassuolo show they can compete, but their away form is concerning, with only a 33% success rate in the last five away matches. Their latest loss to Parma highlights their need for improvement, especially when competing on the road.

Statistical Analysis

When looking at the statistics, Lecce has a slightly better overall performance compared to Pisa. Lecce’s form at home gives them a slight edge, particularly when they have managed to secure wins against teams like Torino and Fiorentina. Conversely, Pisa’s struggle to find the back of the net is evident as they have only scored a few goals in their recent matches, which could be a significant disadvantage.

The head-to-head record between these two teams shows a balanced competition, with each team having two victories in their last four encounters. The average score of their matches has been around 1.8 goals, indicating tight contests. However, given Lecce’s home advantage and Pisa’s away troubles, Lecce may have the upper hand statistically in this matchup.

Head-to-Head History

The recent head-to-head history between Lecce and Pisa reveals a competitive rivalry. In their last four encounters, Lecce has won twice while Pisa has also claimed victory on two occasions. The matches have generally been low-scoring, with only one out of four going over 2.5 goals. This pattern suggests that while both teams have the potential to win, the matches tend to be closely contested and could be decided by a single goal.

Influencing Factors

Pisa’s struggles away from home also cannot be overlooked; they will need to overcome their recent form to secure a positive result. The psychological aspect of playing away, combined with their need to improve, adds pressure to their performance. If they can channel this pressure positively, they might just secure a draw or surprise victory.

Prediction and Justification

Taking into account Lecce’s recent home form and Pisa’s challenges away, the prediction leans towards a favorable outcome for Lecce, but given the close history between the teams, a draw is also a strong possibility. With both teams having shown inconsistencies, it’s plausible to expect a tightly contested match with Lecce edging it by a narrow margin. Therefore, the predicted score is 1:2, favoring Pisa, considering their potential to hold Lecce to a draw or even sneak a win on the road.