⚽ Levante vs Espanyol — Analytics and Prediction (11.01.2026)

Introduction

Levante and Espanyol are set to clash in an intriguing La Liga encounter at the Estadio Ciudad de Valencia. Levante, currently struggling with a form of just 27% at home, will look to improve their fortunes against a more consistent Espanyol side that boasts an impressive 80% form in away matches. This match presents a pivotal opportunity for both teams, with Levante needing points to climb away from the relegation zone, while Espanyol aims to solidify their mid-table aspirations.

As the teams prepare to face each other, the historical context adds an extra layer of intrigue. In their last five encounters, both teams have secured two victories each, with one match ending in a draw. This parity suggests a competitive match is on the cards, but recent form heavily favors the visitors.

Form Analysis

Levante’s recent form has been concerning, particularly at home. With only 27% of their last five home matches resulting in victories, they are struggling to find a rhythm. This lack of consistency is evident in their inability to convert chances into goals, which has plagued them throughout the season. Additionally, the pressure of needing points may lead to hesitancy on the pitch, impacting their performance negatively.

Conversely, Espanyol has showcased a much more robust form, winning four out of their last five away matches. Their attacking prowess and defensive stability have been key factors in their success. The confidence gained from their performances will be critical as they look to exploit Levante’s vulnerabilities. The away team’s form indicates they are not only capable of scoring but also adept at managing games, which could prove decisive in this match.

Statistical Analysis

When comparing the statistics of both teams, Espanyol clearly holds the upper hand. Levante’s home matches have been characterized by a lack of scoring, which has contributed to their low win percentage. In contrast, Espanyol’s attacking statistics suggest they are capable of finding the back of the net frequently, particularly in away games where they have averaged more goals scored compared to Levante. Furthermore, Levante’s defensive record at home has been shaky; they have conceded several goals in critical moments, which could be exploited by a dynamic Espanyol attack.

Head-to-head metrics also reveal a high-scoring tendency in their matches. With an average of 4.2 goals per game in their last five encounters, it is evident that both teams can contribute to a lively affair. Nonetheless, Espanyol’s recent performances suggest they are more equipped to control the flow of the game, potentially leading to fewer goals against them.

Head-to-Head History

The historical encounters between Levante and Espanyol have been fiercely contested, with both teams demonstrating their ability to claim victory. The most recent matches have seen a mix of results, including two wins for each team and one draw. However, Espanyol has generally had the upper hand, particularly in matches played at Levante’s home ground. This psychological edge may play a significant role in influencing the outcome of the upcoming clash.

Influencing Factors

The weather conditions during the match are expected to be favorable, with clear skies and a temperature of 15°C, which should allow for a free-flowing game. Such weather could benefit both teams, but especially Espanyol, who have shown they can adapt to various conditions effectively.

Playing at the Estadio Ciudad de Valencia grants Levante a degree of home advantage; however, their recent form diminishes this factor. Espanyol’s strong away performance and their ability to handle pressure situations give them an edge. The combination of these elements suggests that Levante may struggle to maintain control, particularly if they concede early.

Prediction and Justification

In light of the current form, statistical analysis, and historical context, it is reasonable to predict that Espanyol will either win or draw this match against Levante. The home team’s struggles, particularly in converting chances and maintaining defensive solidity, will likely be tested by Espanyol’s attacking capabilities. Therefore, the prediction is a victory for Espanyol with a probable scoreline of 1:2, reflecting their recent form and head-to-head advantages.