⚽ Liverpool vs Brighton — Analytics and Prediction (13.12.2025)

Introduction

In this upcoming Premier League clash, Liverpool will host Brighton at Anfield, a match that promises to be intriguing given the contrasting forms of both teams. Liverpool, traditionally a powerhouse in English football, appears to be struggling recently, while Brighton has shown resilience and competitiveness in their recent fixtures. Both teams will be eager for points, making this encounter crucial for their respective campaigns.

Brighton arrives with a mixed bag of results but has managed to secure some solid performances, indicating their capability to challenge the established teams. With players in form and a decent record against Liverpool in recent encounters, they will look to capitalize on Liverpool’s current vulnerability.

Form Analysis

Liverpool’s recent form has been concerning, with only two draws and three losses in their last five matches. Their inability to secure victories, particularly at home, raises questions about their current squad’s morale and tactical effectiveness. The 3-3 draw against Leeds highlighted defensive frailties, while the loss to PSV Eindhoven by 1-4 was a stark reminder of their struggles in Europe. This inconsistent run has seen them drop points, making it imperative for them to regain their winning mentality.

On the other hand, Brighton has been relatively stable, with two wins, two draws, and just one loss in their last five games. Their performance against teams like Nottingham Forest and Brentford demonstrates their attacking prowess, and they have been able to score consistently. The recent draw against West Ham and a high-scoring game against Aston Villa indicate that Brighton can compete with any side, making them a formidable opponent for Liverpool.

Statistical Analysis

An analysis of statistics reveals a stark contrast between Liverpool and Brighton. Liverpool has struggled defensively, conceding a total of 10 goals in their last five matches, which is alarming for a team of their caliber. Conversely, Brighton has been more efficient, only conceding 5 goals in their last five outings while scoring 9, showcasing a more balanced approach to both attack and defense.

In terms of head-to-head statistics, Liverpool has historically performed better against Brighton with three wins out of the last five encounters. However, the recent trend shows Brighton securing a win in their last meeting, implying that they can compete effectively against Liverpool. The average goal count in these matches also tends to favor high-scoring affairs, as seen in their recent meetings, which could indicate an exciting match ahead.

Head-to-Head History

Influencing Factors

The weather conditions for the match are set to be overcast, with a temperature of 9°C, humidity at 70%, and wind speeds around 18.684 km/h. Such conditions could affect the players’ stamina and gameplay, favoring a side that is tactically disciplined.

Anfield is known for its intimidating atmosphere, which typically gives Liverpool a significant advantage. However, given their current form, it will be interesting to see if they can leverage this home support effectively. Brighton will need to remain calm under pressure and exploit any defensive errors from the home side, especially considering their recent improvement in away performances, achieving a 53% success rate in their last five away games.

Prediction and Justification

Considering Liverpool’s recent form struggles and Brighton’s competitive edge, the match is likely to end in favor of Brighton or a draw. The combination of Liverpool’s defensive vulnerabilities and Brighton’s ability to score suggests that Brighton will either win or secure a draw. The prediction is for a highly contested match with a final score of 1:2 in favor of Brighton, reflecting their current form and potential to capitalize on Liverpool’s weaknesses.