⚽ Nottingham Forest vs Tottenham — Analytics and Prediction (14.12.2025)

Introduction

Nottingham Forest will face Tottenham Hotspur in an exciting Premier League encounter at the City Ground. Nottingham Forest has had a mixed bag of performances recently, showing resilience in some matches but struggling against stronger opponents. On the other hand, Tottenham has showcased their attacking prowess and defensive vulnerabilities, making them a formidable but inconsistent side this season. Both teams will be eager to secure points as they navigate through this competitive league phase.

Form Analysis

Nottingham Forest’s recent form has been somewhat concerning, with only two wins in their last five matches. They have managed to secure victories against Utrecht and Wolves but suffered heavy defeats against Everton and Brighton. Their home form is slightly better, with a 60% success rate in their last five home matches, suggesting that they can be a tough opponent at the City Ground.

Tottenham, meanwhile, has had a turbulent run lately, winning just one out of their last five games. Their victories against Slavia Praha and Brentford were encouraging, yet they have faltered against teams like Fulham and Newcastle. Their away form stands at 33%, indicating that they struggle to perform outside of their home ground, which could play a crucial role in this matchup.

Statistical Analysis

When comparing the statistical metrics of both teams, Nottingham Forest has shown a tendency to score and concede goals, with an average of 2.8 goals per match in their last five head-to-head encounters. Their defensive weaknesses have been evident, allowing multiple goals in critical matches. Conversely, Tottenham has had a mixed attacking output, with a blend of high-scoring games and disappointing performances, such as the recent 5-3 loss to PSG.

The head-to-head records indicate a slight edge for Nottingham Forest, having won three of the last five encounters against Tottenham. However, Tottenham’s historical performance and their depth in attacking talent should not be underestimated, as they are capable of turning the tide in their favor.

Head-to-Head History

The recent history between Nottingham Forest and Tottenham reveals a competitive edge for Forest, having won three out of the last five meetings. Notably, they have managed to keep Tottenham at bay in crucial matches, showcasing their ability to perform under pressure. However, Tottenham has also had their moments of dominance, with two victories in these encounters, indicating that this clash could go either way.

Influencing Factors

The match will take place at the City Ground, where Nottingham Forest has the advantage of home support. The current weather conditions, including an overcast sky with temperatures around 10°C and a humidity level of 76%, could impact player performance, particularly for Tottenham, who may not be as accustomed to such conditions. The wind speed of 29 km/h might also affect the game, particularly in terms of long passes and crosses.

Home advantage is significant, and Nottingham Forest’s improved performance at home could serve as a morale booster against a fluctuating Tottenham side. Additionally, the tactical approach each team adopts will be crucial; if Nottingham can exploit Tottenham’s defensive lapses, they could secure a favorable result.

Prediction and Justification

Considering the recent form, head-to-head history, and home advantage, the prediction leans towards a draw or a narrow victory for Tottenham. Nottingham Forest’s ability to hold their own at home may pose challenges for Tottenham, yet the visitors have the attacking talent to capitalize on any defensive errors. Thus, the forecast for this match is a closely contested game with a likely score of 1:2 in favor of Tottenham, reflecting their potential to edge past Nottingham Forest despite their recent inconsistencies.