⚽ RB Leipzig vs Bayer Leverkusen — Analytics and Prediction (20.12.2025)

Introduction

Both RB Leipzig and Bayer Leverkusen are strong contenders in the Bundesliga, and their upcoming match promises to be a thrilling encounter. With Leipzig currently riding a wave of form at home and Leverkusen struggling to find consistency on the road, the stage is set for a high-stakes clash at the Red Bull Arena. Both teams will be keen to secure crucial points as the season progresses, making this matchup even more significant for both sides’ ambitions.

Form Analysis

RB Leipzig has shown impressive form in their recent matches, securing four wins in their last five outings. Their ability to score goals is evident, highlighted by a commanding 6-0 victory over Eintracht Frankfurt. However, they faced a setback against Union Berlin in a surprising 3-1 loss, indicating that they are not invincible. Leipzig’s home form stands at 47%, suggesting they are formidable at the Red Bull Arena, and they will look to capitalize on this advantage against Leverkusen.

On the other hand, Bayer Leverkusen has struggled to maintain consistency, with only two wins in their last five matches. Their recent performances include a draw against Newcastle and a disappointing loss to FC Augsburg. However, they did manage to secure a narrow victory over Borussia Dortmund, showcasing their potential to compete against top teams. With an away form of 60%, they can be dangerous on the road, but they must find a way to convert their chances into goals.

Statistical Analysis

In terms of statistics, RB Leipzig has a competitive edge with a higher winning percentage compared to Bayer Leverkusen. Leipzig’s recent matches indicate a strong attacking presence, averaging 3.4 goals per game over their last five fixtures. Conversely, Leverkusen’s scoring has been inconsistent, often struggling to find the back of the net, which is evident from their recent matches where they failed to score in critical games.

Head-to-head metrics show that in the last five encounters, both teams have won two matches each, with one draw, indicating a balanced rivalry. However, the average score of these matches suggests a tendency for high-scoring affairs, with four out of five matches exceeding 2.5 goals. This trend points to the potential for an open game with numerous goal-scoring opportunities for both teams.

Head-to-Head History

The historical encounters between RB Leipzig and Bayer Leverkusen have been closely contested. In their last five meetings, both teams have secured two victories, with one match ending in a draw. Notably, the scores have often been high, which reflects the attacking prowess both sides possess. The most recent match saw a 2-2 draw, illustrating that neither side has been able to dominate the other consistently.

Influencing Factors

The match will take place at the Red Bull Arena, where RB Leipzig enjoys a significant home advantage. The atmosphere created by their supporters could play a pivotal role in motivating the players. Additionally, the weather conditions, which are expected to be mild, should not adversely affect either team’s playing style.

Leverkusen’s recent struggles away from home could also serve as a factor, as they will need to overcome the pressure of playing in a hostile environment. The psychological aspect of competing against a team that has shown resilience at home could weigh heavily on their performance.

Prediction and Justification

Considering the current form, statistical advantages, and historical context, RB Leipzig is favored to come out on top in this matchup. Their attacking capabilities, especially at home, will likely prove too much for Bayer Leverkusen, who have shown inconsistency. Therefore, I predict a close match, possibly ending with a score of 2:1 in favor of RB Leipzig, reflecting their home advantage and goal-scoring ability.