⚽ Real Madrid vs Levante — Analytics and Prediction (17.01.2026)

Introduction

Real Madrid is set to face Levante in an intriguing La Liga matchup at the iconic Estadio Santiago Bernabéu. The host team, known for its rich history and star-studded lineup, will be looking to capitalize on their home advantage against a struggling Levante side. Despite their recent inconsistent performances, Real Madrid remains a formidable opponent with ambitions to reclaim the title, while Levante fights to secure crucial points to avoid relegation.

Form Analysis

Real Madrid’s recent form at home has been impressive, winning 80% of their last five matches. They have demonstrated a potent attacking threat coupled with a solid defense, making them hard to beat on their turf. With key players in fine form, the team looks ready to dominate this fixture.

On the other hand, Levante’s away form has been disappointing, with just 33% success in their last five outings. Struggling both offensively and defensively, Levante has found it challenging to earn points on the road, which raises concerns about their prospects against a top-tier team like Real Madrid. Their current form suggests they will need a significant improvement to stand a chance in this match.

Statistical Analysis

When analyzing the statistics, Real Madrid showcases a far superior record compared to Levante. With a higher win percentage and more goals scored, they have consistently outperformed Levante in recent encounters. The head-to-head metrics indicate that Real Madrid has won 1 of the last 5 encounters, while Levante has managed to secure 3 victories. However, the average score of 4.4 goals in those matches suggests a high-scoring affair is possible.

Levante’s struggles are further highlighted by their inability to score consistently, which is reflected in their recent matches. With a defensive line that has leaked goals, they will need to tighten their backline against Real Madrid’s attacking prowess. The statistical gap is stark and indicates a significant challenge for Levante in this matchup.

Head-to-Head History

The recent encounters between these two teams have been quite varied, with Levante managing to secure surprising victories, including a memorable 2-1 win over Real Madrid. However, Real Madrid’s dominance is evident in their ability to score heavily against Levante, highlighted by a 6-0 victory in their last outing. This history suggests that while Levante can pull off an upset, Real Madrid’s overall performance in these fixtures has been overwhelmingly positive.

Influencing Factors

The match will take place under overcast conditions with a temperature of 6°C, which may affect player performance but is generally favorable for football. The home advantage at Estadio Santiago Bernabéu cannot be understated, as Real Madrid has a robust record in front of their fans. Additionally, the psychological aspect of playing at home, combined with the high stakes of the match, could motivate Real Madrid to perform at their best.

Levante will have to overcome not just the physical challenge of facing a superior opponent but also the mental hurdle of playing away in such a high-pressure environment. Their past results in similar situations indicate that they may struggle under these circumstances.

Prediction and Justification

Considering the analysis of form, statistics, and head-to-head history, Real Madrid emerges as the clear favorite to win this fixture. Their home form, combined with Levante’s struggles on the road, leads to a strong prediction of a victory for the hosts. The predicted score for the match is likely to be 2:1 in favor of Real Madrid, reflecting their ability to score while acknowledging Levante’s potential to find the back of the net on a good day.