⚽ Sevilla vs Celta Vigo — Analytics and Prediction (12.01.2026)

Introduction

Sevilla faces Celta Vigo in what promises to be an intriguing La Liga clash. The match will take place at the Estadio Ramón Sánchez Pizjuán, where the home side will be looking to turn around their recent form. Meanwhile, Celta Vigo arrives with a significantly stronger away performance, aiming to capitalize on their current momentum to secure points against their traditional rivals.

Form Analysis

Sevilla’s recent form has been troubling, with a mere 27% success rate in their last five home matches. This disappointing run has raised concerns about their ability to convert home advantage into positive results. Defensive frailties and inconsistency in attack have been key issues, making it challenging for them to secure wins in critical games.

On the other hand, Celta Vigo has shown a noticeable improvement in form, boasting a 67% success rate in their last five away games. Their attacking prowess, combined with a solid defensive setup, has allowed them to earn crucial points on the road. This confidence will be pivotal as they face a Sevilla side struggling to find their rhythm.

Statistical Analysis

When comparing the statistics of both teams, it is evident that Celta Vigo has been more effective in both scoring and defending. Sevilla has struggled to find the net consistently, while Celta has managed to score more goals during their recent outings.

In head-to-head encounters, Sevilla has won 2 out of the last 5 matches against Celta Vigo, with Celta securing 1 win and the remaining 2 matches ending in draws. The average scoreline from these encounters supports the notion that both teams can find the back of the net, with a total of 3.0 goals per match in their recent meetings.

Head-to-Head History

The head-to-head history between Sevilla and Celta Vigo showcases a competitive rivalry. Celta Vigo’s recent 3-2 victory over Sevilla indicates that they are capable of overcoming their opponents, especially given Sevilla’s struggles this season. Their previous matches have often been high-scoring, which suggests that goals could be expected in the upcoming clash.

Influencing Factors

The weather conditions on match day are expected to be cool, with a temperature of 10°C and high humidity at 88%. These conditions may affect players’ stamina and performance levels. Additionally, playing at the Estadio Ramón Sánchez Pizjuán typically gives Sevilla an advantage; however, their current form diminishes that edge.

Celta Vigo’s ability to perform well away from home, evidenced by their recent form, suggests they may not be intimidated by the atmosphere. This match will be crucial for Sevilla to regain confidence, but Celta Vigo’s current momentum could prove to be a decisive factor in the match’s outcome.

Prediction and Justification

Given the analysis of both teams’ forms, statistics, and influencing factors, Celta Vigo appears to hold a slight advantage going into this match. Their improved away form and Sevilla’s struggles suggest that Celta could come away with at least a draw. Therefore, the prediction is that Celta Vigo will either win or secure a draw, with a probable scoreline of 1:2.