⚽ Tritons Vallarta vs Colima — Analytics and Prediction (10.01.2026)

Introduction

Both Tritons Vallarta and Colima are set to face off in an intriguing Liga Premier Serie A match. Tritons Vallarta has shown a stronger performance historically and possesses a more favorable recent form at home. On the other hand, Colima struggles with their away record, which raises questions about their ability to compete effectively in this matchup. As both teams prepare, the stakes are high for Colima, who will be seeking to turn their fortunes around against a dominant Tritons side.

Form Analysis

Tritons Vallarta has had a mixed bag in their last five home matches, managing to secure only a 40% success rate. However, this is significantly better than Colima’s dismal away form, where they have only managed to win 7% of their last five matches. Tritons will be looking to leverage their home advantage, where they have historically performed better. Their recent form includes a combination of draws and losses, indicating that while they may not be in the best shape, they still hold a competitive edge.

Colima’s recent form is alarming, as they have struggled considerably on the road. With only one victory out of their last five away matches, their confidence is likely at a low ebb. The team has failed to score in multiple outings, leading to concerns about their attacking capabilities. Their lack of form away from home is a critical factor that Tritons can exploit, making this an uphill battle for them.

Statistical Analysis

When we delve into the statistics, Tritons Vallarta has a clear advantage with a 45% probability of winning compared to Colima’s meager 10%. The head-to-head metrics reveal that Tritons have been superior in their recent encounters with Colima, winning four out of the last five matches. The average score from these encounters has been 2.4 goals per match, with a notable tendency for games to exceed 2.5 goals, as evidenced by 2 out of 5 matches surpassing this threshold. This statistical backdrop suggests that Tritons not only have the upper hand in terms of results but also in overall gameplay dynamics.

Colima’s metrics indicate a struggle, particularly in away matches where they have allowed goals consistently while failing to score. This stark contrast in performance metrics underscores the challenges they face against a Tritons team that capitalizes on home-field advantage and has a proven track record against them.

Head-to-Head History

The recent head-to-head history between Tritons Vallarta and Colima strongly favors Tritons. With a record of 4 wins, 0 losses, and 1 draw in their last five meetings, Tritons have demonstrated they can consistently outperform Colima. Notably, Tritons managed to keep Colima scoreless in several encounters, which highlights their defensive solidity against this opponent. The history indicates a psychological edge for Tritons, who will look to maintain their dominance in this fixture.

Influencing Factors

Prediction and Justification

Considering the data and analysis presented, it is reasonable to predict that Tritons Vallarta will win or draw this match against Colima. Tritons’ strong home form and favorable head-to-head history give them the edge in this encounter. Colima’s struggles away from home and their low probability of success further reinforce this conclusion. Therefore, the predicted score for the match is 2:1, reflecting Tritons Vallarta’s potential to secure victory while Colima may find the net at least once.