⚽ Verona vs Bologna — Analytics and Prediction (15.01.2026)

Introduction

Both Verona and Bologna have had a turbulent season in Serie A, with each team struggling to find consistent form. Verona, playing at home, will be looking to capitalize on their familiar surroundings, while Bologna aims to break their away woes and secure crucial points. As both teams are positioned near the bottom half of the table, this match holds significant importance for their aspirations to avoid relegation and improve their standings.

Form Analysis

Verona’s recent form has been lackluster, with only a 27% success rate in their last five matches. Their struggles have been evident, particularly in converting chances into goals. The team’s defense has also been vulnerable, leading to a series of disappointing results. However, playing at home may provide them with a slight edge to improve their performance.

On the other hand, Bologna has fared even worse, managing only a 13% success rate in their last five away matches. They face challenges both offensively and defensively, often failing to find the back of the net and allowing too many goals. Despite their poor form, Bologna has historically performed well against Verona, which might give them a psychological advantage heading into this match.

Statistical Analysis

When we compare the statistics of both teams, Verona has recorded a higher average goals per match in their last five encounters, scoring an average of 2.4 goals. In contrast, Bologna has struggled to maintain a strong offensive presence, with fewer goals scored during the same period. Additionally, Verona has a slight edge in their head-to-head record, but recent performances suggest that Bologna may be capable of turning the tide.

Furthermore, looking at the overall season performance, both teams have faced difficulties, but Bologna’s ability to secure points in key matches against Verona in the past could play a crucial role in their strategy. The average score in their recent head-to-heads indicates a potential for high-scoring encounters, which adds an interesting dynamic to this match.

Head-to-Head History

The recent head-to-head history between Verona and Bologna shows a balanced competition, with both teams winning two matches each and one draw in their last five encounters. Notably, Bologna has managed to keep two clean sheets against Verona, indicating their defensive strength in these matchups. The last encounter ended in a draw, suggesting that both teams are evenly matched on certain occasions, but Bologna’s recent victories may give them the belief needed for this clash.

Influencing Factors

The match will take place at the Stadio Marcantonio Bentegodi, which historically serves as a fortress for Verona, albeit with recent struggles at home. The home advantage could be pivotal, as Verona will seek to rally their supporters for a much-needed performance. Weather conditions are also expected to be mild, which should not significantly impact the players’ performances.

Mental factors will play a role as well; Bologna may feel pressured to perform better away from home, while Verona will be desperate to turn the tide after a series of poor results. This psychological aspect could influence the match dynamics, especially in critical moments where confidence is key.

Prediction and Justification

Considering the current form of both teams, Bologna seems to have a better chance of securing at least a draw, if not a win, against Verona. Although both teams have struggled, Bologna’s past performances against Verona, combined with their need for points, lead to the prediction that Bologna will either win or draw the match. The expected score is 1:2, favoring Bologna as they look to capitalize on their historical advantage in this fixture.