⚽ Villarreal vs Alaves — Analytics and Prediction (10.01.2026)

Introduction

Villarreal is set to face Alaves in an exciting La Liga encounter at the Estadio de la Ceramica. Villarreal, known for their attacking prowess and solid home performances, will look to capitalize on their home advantage against a struggling Alaves side. Alaves, on the other hand, has been struggling to find form this season, making this matchup critically important for them to turn their fortunes around.

Form Analysis

Villarreal has shown impressive form at home, boasting an 80% success rate in their last five matches. This strong performance is indicative of their ability to dominate play and create scoring opportunities, aided by a tactical approach that emphasizes fluidity in attack. Key players have been stepping up, making Villarreal a formidable opponent at their home ground.

In contrast, Alaves has struggled on the road, with a mere 27% success rate in their last five away games. Their inability to secure points away from home reflects a lack of cohesion and defensive frailty. Alaves needs to find a way to improve their away performances if they hope to compete effectively against stronger teams like Villarreal.

Statistical Analysis

When comparing the statistics of both teams, Villarreal has significantly outperformed Alaves in terms of goal-scoring ability and defensive stability. With an average of 2.2 goals per game in their last five encounters, Villarreal demonstrates their attacking capabilities. Conversely, Alaves has struggled to find the net and has conceded a higher number of goals, showcasing their defensive vulnerabilities.

The head-to-head record further underscores Villarreal’s dominance, with 3 wins and only 2 draws in their last five meetings against Alaves. This trend indicates that Villarreal not only has the upper hand in recent form but also possesses a psychological edge over their opponents.

Head-to-Head History

The recent head-to-head history between Villarreal and Alaves reveals a pattern of Villarreal’s superiority. In their last five meetings, Villarreal has won three times, with two matches ending in draws. Alaves has yet to defeat Villarreal in this timeframe, highlighting Villarreal’s consistent performance against them.

Influencing Factors

The match will take place under favorable weather conditions, with a temperature of 12°C and low humidity, which should not hinder the players’ performance. The Estadio de la Ceramica provides a strong home advantage for Villarreal, where the atmosphere is often electric, and the players are motivated to perform at their best.

Additionally, the current form of both teams plays a crucial role in the outcome. Villarreal’s confidence from their home form contrasts sharply with Alaves’ struggles, which could further impact their mental state going into the match. The combination of these factors favors Villarreal significantly.

Prediction and Justification

Considering Villarreal’s strong home form, historical dominance in head-to-head encounters, and Alaves’ struggles, the prediction leans heavily towards a Villarreal victory. With the likelihood of Villarreal securing at least a draw being high, the most plausible outcome is a win for Villarreal with a score of 2:1. The predicted score reflects their attacking potential and Alaves’ defensive weaknesses.